one of the biggest fixtures of the Indian Premier League (IPL), Mumbai Indians
(MI) take on Chennai Super Kings (CSK) at the Wankhede Stadium. CSK are
unbeaten this season, having secured wins in 3 out of 3, while MI have
struggled to find any sort of momentum, but are off the mark, having won just
one out of their 3 games. CSK have looked near-perfect in this season, having
their bases covered in all departments. They have restricted the batsmen well,
and while chasing, look like one of those teams, who can chase down almost
every total. MI on the other hand will be hoping to make home advantage count.
They were thrashed by Delhi Capitals (DC) in their previous match at Wankhede
and will look to learn from their mistakes.
When it comes to head-to-head in the IPL, it is MI, who have a 13-11 advantage. Also, MI have beaten CSK in the last 4 out of their 5 previous meetings.
In the first two phases of play, it is crucial to take as many wickets as possible to ensure that there aren’t many hitters for the final phase. In T20, the strike-rates play a crucial role in the first two phases, while it is extremely crucial to keep the runs down in the final five overs, even it comes at the cost of not picking up wickets. At Wankhede, the pacers do have a better strike-rate compared to the spinners.
However, in the final phase, it is the spinners, who have managed to keep the runs down, while the quicks have gone for runs. To put it simply, the ideal way to go about things at Wankhede at the death is to have the spinners bowl in the final phase.
It will not be surprising to see both MI and CSK drop a spinner and go in for an extra quick.
Mumbai as a result might be tempted to bring in Alzarri Joseph straight into the XI in place of Lasith Malinga, who will participate in Sri Lanka’s one-day tournament. It also may not be a bad idea to give Rasikh Salam another go, considering that there could be something on offer for the fast bowler. It also seems likely that young Ishan Kishan could be brought in after the wicket-keeper was seen facing Bumrah and Malinga in the nets.
MI likely XI: Yuvraj Singh, Alzarri Joseph, Rohit Sharma (c), Kieron Pollard, Mitchell McClenaghan, Suryakumar Yadav/Ishan Kishan, Quinton de Kock (wk), Jasprit Bumrah, Hardik Pandya, Krunal Pandya, Mayank Markande/Rasikh Salam
CSK on the other hand, who played three spinners in their previous match, might consider dropping Mitchell Santner, who had a rather poor debut against Rajasthan Royals (RR) and bring Kiwi fast bowler Scott Kuggeleijn into the mix right away.
CSK likely XI: Shane Watson, Dwayne Bravo, MS Dhoni (c & wk), Suresh Raina, Ravindra Jadeja, Kedar Jadhav, Ambati Rayudu, Imran Tahir, Deepak Chahar, Shardul Thakur, Scott Kuggeleijn
How teams have fared across phase of play since 2018
In the first two phases, it is CSK, who have the better strike-rate, while the run-rate for both teams has more or less been the same. However it is in the death overs, where the there is a drastic change in the economy. It is the MI, who have the edge over CSK. Even when it comes to the dot ball %, it is CSK, who have done well in the first two phases, but the final phase, MI have managed to draw more dot balls.
Rohit Sharma vs pace/spin in powerplays
Rohit Sharma ahead of the tournament announced that he will open the batting in all the matches. Interestingly, the best time to get him out is in the powerplays and in that phase, he has below par record against the spinners. Rohit has a strike-rate of 89.18 and dismissal rate of 12.3 against spinners, compared to a strike-rate of 116.5 and dismissal rate of 26.5 when pitted against pacers
Bumrah vs Watson and Dhoni
Shane Watson is someone, who many a times has taken his team off to a flier and Dhoni, especially in 2019, has regained his old touch by smacking the ball to the fence in the final 4 to 5 overs, thereby giving his team the advantage. Jasprit Bumrah will be key against both these batsmen and has a good record against both these players. Bumrah has dismissed Watson (Dismissal Rate 7) and Dhoni (Dismissal Rate 11.6) twice.
Yuvraj vs Tahir
Yuvraj Singh has an excellent record against leg-spinners in the IPL. In fact, he has the highest strike-rate (137.87) against them compared to all techniques against whom he has faced at least 100 deliveries. Imran Tahir too does not have a good record vs left-handers. With both of them more or less confirmed to be in the starting line-up, it will be an interesting toss-up. Also, Tahir has never dismissed Yuvraj in the 28 balls he has bowled to him.