In what has been a game worthy of the first-ever World Test Championship final, the weather is all set to play spoilsport during the fourth day's play. In what should be the moving day in the context of the Test, a washout seems the most likely outcome if the weather forecast is anything to go by.
BBC weather predicts an 80% chance of rain from the morning till about the time for lunch. A probability of around 50% throughout the day implies that the chances of play looks bleak.
Given the unpredictability of the weather in the UK, it is a hard job to ascertain the likely forecast. But other sources, such as weather.com predict even a higher probability of a washout.
Due to the availability of the reserve day and the game being a low-scoring affair so far, a result still seems likely on cards. However, if the fourth day is washed out, a maximum of two full days of play will be available after this. This will enhance the probability of the game ending in a draw. Both sides will share the trophy if that turns out to be the case.
New Zealand were 116 runs behind India's first innings total at the end of the third day with eight wickets in hand. With Devon Conway's dismissal late in the day and two new batsmen at the crease, India would be fancying their chances whenever they come out to bowl.