back icon
safari
29 Oct 2020 | 07:41 AM
authorSomesh Agarwal
IPL 2020 Scenarios - No 'Q' against a name with eight games left
The race for qualification gets tighter as even 16 points might not be enough this season

Each team has played 12 games each and we are still waiting for an official 'Q' to be added to anyone of them. That is how close IPL has been this year. 2015 and 2016 were the only years before this when no team confirmed a playoff spot after 48 games. 

Apart from Chennai Super Kings, all other teams are still in contention to qualify for the playoffs. The upcoming four fixtures will clear some muddle as three of them are virtual knockouts for atleast one team.

Mumbai Indians

Current Points: 16

Remaining Fixture: 
v DC, Dubai, Oct 31
v SRH, Sharjah, Nov 01

After a win against RCB on October 28, MI are all but through to the playoffs. Even if they lose their remaining two games, MI will make it to the playoffs. While on paper, four other teams can also end up at 16 points, the NRR gap between MI and the other sides will be difficult to breach. 

If they win one of the remaining two, they will also affirm their position at the top of the table this year. Moreover, as DC or RCB play each other, only one of them are capable of reaching 18 points. Hence, MI are all but certain to finish in the top-2, unless they suffer two catastrophic defeats. 

Royal Challengers Bangalore and Delhi Capitals

Current Points: 14

Remaining Fixture (RCB): 
v SRH, Sharjah, Oct 31
v DC, Abu Dhabi, Nov 02

Remaining Fixture (DC): 
v MI, Dubai, Oct 31
v RCB, Abu Dhabi, Nov 02

A string of losses for both sides has put their playoff spots in a jeopardy. Let alone their hope of finishing in the top-2. For a guaranteed top-2 finish, they should win both their remaining fixtures. To ascertain a qualification to the playoffs, they should win atleast one of them. 

The biggest catch for RCB and DC is that they are yet to play each other. Hence only one of them can be at 18 points. However, this also ensures that atleast one of them will be at 16 points. Looking at their positive NRR, it is almost certain that 16 points will be enough for either of them to qualify.

Since they play each other in their last game of the league stage, the fixture between them can be a shootout for a top-2 spot if they enter that game with a win. However, if they enter by losing their individual fixture (DC vs MI and RCB vs SRH) than it will be a virtual quarter-final for the playoffs. 

If one of RCB or DCB lose both their games then they will have to depend on the results of other games and NRR to win a playoff spot. 

Looking at the remaining fixtures, atleast one of KXIP, KKR and RR will be at 14 points or more. KXIP and KKR can reach 16 as well and that will knock the sides at 14 out. Also, SRH can be at 14 by winning all games from here. Moreover, SRH have the best NRR after MI. Hence, if a side is to qualify at 14, SRH have the best chance.

Kings XI Punjab

Current Points: 12

Remaining Fixture: 
v RR, Abu Dhabi, Oct 30
v CSK, Abu Dhabi, Nov 1

KXIP have stormed back into the tournament with five consecutive victories. 

However, to be safe for playoffs, they need to win all the remaining games. Even then, KKR can finish with 16 points as well. However, since KXIP have a better NRR than KKR, it is unlikely to be an issue.

Moreover, if KXIP can achieve big victories, they can knock on the door for a top-2 spot as well.

But, if KXIP win one, things will be tricky for them. They will be fighting with SRH, KKR, RR and also one of RCB or DC for the last two spots. RCB and DC have a better NRR than them hence, they have a better chance to take one of the remaining spot. 

For KXIP to qualify at 14 without NRR being an issue, their biggest threat is SRH. Hence, they would hope that SRH loses one of their remaining two games and KKR lose one of their remaining two. Since KKR and RR are lower down on NRR, they will unlikely to be a threat at 14. 

Kolkata Knight Riders 

Current Points: 12

Remaining Fixture: 
v CSK, Dubai, Oct 29
v RR, Dubai, Nov 1

Whenever IPL has been an eight-team event, never has a team with 16 points failed to qualify. However, with their NNR being third from the bottom, KKR can be the first team to not qualify at 16.

Even if they manage to win both their remaining games, there are 4 teams above them that can finish with 16 points. KKR’s only hope as of now is for either of RCB or DC to lose all their games or KXIP to lose one of their remaining two. 

If KKR loses one of their remaining games, it is almost impossible for them to qualify. Since KKR and KXIP face RR, even if KKR finishes at 14 points, any one or both of KXIP and RR can finish with 14 points as well. 

Also, SRH can too compete with 14 by winning all their remaining games. With all these sides except RR having a better NRR than them, KKR will be all but out if they lose one game from here. 

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Current Points: 10

Remaining Fixture: 

v RCB, Sharjah, Oct 31
v MI, Sharjah, Nov 3

After a heart-breaking loss against KXIP, SRH came back strong against DC. However, each game is a do or die encounter for them.

Even If SRH win all the two, they will finish with 14 points. Apart from the top-3, who are 14 or more already, either of KKR, KXIP and RR will end up with 14 or more points for sure. Hence, the only way they can qualify at 14 is for KXIP and KKR to lose one game each. 

However, if teams with 14 points fight for the remaining spot, SRH are at an advantage as they have the best NRR among the bottom seven teams. It will only improve if they win all games from here.

Rajasthan Royals 

Current Points: 10

Remaining Fixture: 
v KXIP, Abu Dhabi, Oct 30
v KKR, Dubai, Nov 1

The Royals pulled off an empathic victory against MI on the night of October 25. But, it goes without saying that RR need to win all of their remaining two games to be alive in the tournament. Even then, they are at the mercy of CSK to beat KKR and KXIP.

For them to qualify at 14, KKR and KXIP should lose both their remaining games. One of these games is in their control since they play both those sides. Post that, their only hope is for CSK to spoil the party for KKR and KXIP.

Also, they will need SRH to lose one of their remaining two games. With a NRR better than only CSK, it is improbable that RR can make it to the playoffs while competing with a side at 14. They will need four teams to be at 12 points or lower.

Made with Flourish


Share
Tags
Mumbai IndiansRoyal Challengers BangaloreDelhi CapitalsKings XI PunjabKolkata Knight RidersSunrisers HyderabadRajasthan RoyalsChennai Super Kings
Related Articles
OPINION
IPL 2020: Matches that were totally one-sided
Here's a look back at matches that were won without giving the opponents a sniff
Pramod Ananth
23 Nov 2020
OPINION
IPL 2020: Top five knocks
Here's a look back at some of the best knocks of the recently-concluded season
Pramod Ananth
11 Nov 2020
ANALYSIS
IPL 2020 Qualification Scenario – Two games, Three spots, Four teams
Here is how RCB, DC, KKR and SRH can make it to the playoffs
Somesh Agarwal
02 Nov 2020
ANALYSIS
IPL 2020 Qualification Scenario - Six teams and three spots up for grabs
Even after 52 games, the playoffs race is wide open. RCB, DC, SRH and KXIP have their destiny in their hands, while KKR and RR rely on other results as well
Somesh Agarwal
31 Oct 2020
ANALYSIS
Playoffs qualification scenarios ahead of an important clash
Apart from CSK, each team can still catch or miss the bus. Here are the qualification scenarios for every team
Somesh Agarwal
26 Oct 2020
ANALYSIS
IPL 2020 – Playoffs Qualification Scenario
With around four games per side to go, let us look at a preliminary analysis into how each team can make it to the playoffs.
Somesh Agarwal
23 Oct 2020
ANALYSIS
RR, CSK and KXIP – Can they turn the table around?
An analysis into what RR and CSK can improve on to qualify for the play-offs in IPL 2020 and whether KXIP stand a chance
Somesh Agarwal
13 Oct 2020
ANALYSIS
KKR and SRH – The battle for the top four
An analysis of the positives and struggles of KKR and SRH so far and what they need to do to qualify for the play-offs in IPL 2020
Somesh Agarwal
13 Oct 2020
ANALYSIS
Delhi Capitals aim to create history
Delhi Capitals have played four playoff matches but managed to win none
Avijit Dutta
08 May 2019
ANALYSIS
Time for KKR, KXIP to wake up from deep slumber
After bright starts, both teams have fallen off pace in their bid to make it to the playoffs.
Pramod Ananth
02 May 2019
Cricket like never before
Term of use
Privacy Policy
Cookies Policy
Follow us on
@ 2020 cricket.com | All rights reserved